Scientific substantiation of a new technique for traffic accident outcome prediction

Abstract

A new complex technique for prediction of sustained injury outcomes has been proposed on the basis of studying medical documents of 762 injured and 339 lost subjects in traffic accidents in the city of Cheliabinsk within the period of 2005-2009; not only severity of the injury sustained, its type and characteristic has been taken into consideration in this technique, but also background pathology presence, the role of victim’s participation in the traffic, the season when injury occurred, severity degree, health harmful consequences. The developed by us technique enhances the accuracy of injury outcome prediction evaluation, thereby enabling to choose adequate medical management. Moreover, the prediction of traffic accident injury consequences can serve as one of the criteria for evaluation of rendering medical care quality